Like grief, the NBA Draft comes in stages. There's the part when you kind of know what's
going to happen, the part when you pretend you know what's going to happen, and
the part when you give up on the idea of knowing what's going on (and so have
the teams).
If you
follow the NBA with any sort of intensity then you probably knew a fair bit
about the top ten prospects, or at least the top three. You knew about Andrew Wiggins, from his
freakish athleticism to his perceived lack of "alpha-dog-ness." You
knew that there was no way in hell Jabari Parker was not going to Milwaukee at
number two. You saw Julius Randle
bulldoze his way to the NCAA final and you were aware that Dante Exum was a
real person.
But
more than anyone else, you knew Joel Embiid.
You knew the Cameroonian native who hadn't picked up a basketball until
the age of 15(more on that later). More
importantly, you knew about his 7 ft 250 lb frame and advanced set of moves
that led him to be the consensus number one prospect. And you knew about the micro fracture surgery
that led him to no longer be the consensus number one prospect.
That
injury had the potential to upset the usually predictable order of the first
ten picks. Embiid sliding past the top
three could send every team scrambling to reassess its strategy for their
respective picks. Wiggins went to
Cleveland, Parker went to Milwaukee. In
came Philadelphia, the potential wild card of the draft. And...they stash Embiid. Tension: Gone. Every team breathed a sigh of relief and went
back to their normal decision making processes.
Not
that this sped the draft along. Each
team had five minutes in the first round to make their picks and they were intent
on using all of them. This either means
selections were submitted via carrier pigeon from each team's respective cities
or that no team had made any sort of final decision coming into tonight's draft. Sort of like when you wait until entering the
poll booth before deciding on who to vote for, except that you aren't paid
millions of dollars to vote. It's
somewhat understandable for teams past the top five and especially after the
top ten, since there is so much potential variability in who is picked by
whom. But Cleveland takes it to the
buzzer with the first overall pick?
Really? Months to pick from any
player and several days to mull over Joel Embiid's injury and the choice is still
left to the last minute. Same story with
Milwaukee; everyone under the sun knew they were going to draft Jabari Parker
before they apparently did, although I suppose this makes sense considering
that Milwaukee receives approximately two hours of sunlight every year.
That
brings us to the second stage of the draft. This is the part when we all have to act like
every pick is a big upset so we can maintain the illusion that we were
well-prepared for the draft and actually have pre-conceived predictions to be
upset. By pick number 20, the airplane
PA-style chimes which preceded Adam Silver's announcements were joined by the
almost as regular shocked exclamations from Bill Simmons after each pick. Simmons's reactions were almost enough to
salvage potential drinking games torpedoed by the shocking lack of analysis of
players wingspans by Jay Bilas.
But you
could've made a great drinking game by observing how many times the ESPN
analysts certified that a prospect was "raw" in that they had little
basketball experience but high athletic upside.
For this draft, the aforementioned Embiid was the poster-boy for this
relatively recent but rapidly proliferating trend in NBA drafting methodology,
but the best example had to be Bruno Caboclo: "The Brazilian Kevin
Durant."
This
pick by Toronto at the number 20 spot was described as being an athletic marvel
but so raw that he is "two years away from being two years away,"(from
being NBA ready) a quote which may be roughly two years away from being three
years away from being a punch line about reckless gambles on upside. If the trend continues, then it is inevitable
that we will see a highly drafted NBA prospect who has never even heard of
basketball and may not even be aware of his drafting at the time. This could open up great new possibilities for
teams to sabotage their competition by inventing fictitious draft
prospects. All it would take is doctoring
blurry cell phone footage and claiming he won the MVP award for a league that
sounds made up(basically all we have on Caboclo) and you can't fail.
If that
stage settled for obscure information then the last stage, that NBA wasteland
we call "the second round," was content to give us viewers near to no
information at all. Blurry footage is
replaced by no footage, the prospects's names become even harder to pronounce,
and multiple picks occur during commercial breaks without any following
commentary. It's hard to blame the ESPN
analysts though, since they didn't seem to leave their table once during the
four hour affair. Simmons and Jalen Rose
can probably sustain their energy perpetually just from bantering, but the
others? It was a pretty herculean
feat. They wanted it to be over, we wanted it to be
over, and it's not like we're going to remember some player picked here when
they become a surprise super star later on.
No one can call those picks, not even the teams really can.